danger

When I started talking to people back home about first visiting and then moving to Argentina, anyone who had heard anything in the news was very worried. Twenty-some people had just been killed in demonstrations there, and somehow the news had filtered back to the US. I also worked with an Argentine doctor who had stories of kidnappings for ransom and increasing crime rates. The US State Department advised tourists to stay away from large gatherings of people (i.e. protests). None of this made it very easy to convince my friends and family I would be safe here in beautiful Buenos Aires.

After visiting and talking to native Argentines, I was convinced that crime, even if it were growing, would not be a problem. I checked the crime statistics and found that in 1999, the city of Buenos Aires had 6,300 crimes per 100,000 residents; Philadelphia had 7,291. Besides, I had worked in the most notoriously dangerous neighborhood (cops called it the "Badlands") in Philadelphia; here in Buenos Aires I find myself in the nicest neighborhoods. A World Bank report shows (see this graph) that murder rates in Argentina are far below US standards. What I needed to be careful about, given that I still look a bit like a tourist, was purse-snatchers, not kidnappers.

But last week I opened the paper and found an article that confirmed my worst fears: chances were, if I were to meet my end in Buenos Aires, it would not be in a dramatic ransom attempt or at the hands of riot police. I was far more likely to die in a car accident.

The article (in Pagina 12) showed that in the past year (since the economic crisis), while traffic had decreased 14%, fatal accidents had increased 27.5%, to 138. The statistics had actually improved since 1999, when 247 were killed, but compared to Rome and Madrid's averages of 60 per year, walking around Buenos Aires was an accident waiting to happen.

The most damning part of the statistics is that a full 65% of the fatal accidents were with pedestrians — compared to 20% in the US or Europe, and 40% in Southeast Asia. The city's Director of Transit Security, Leticia Piris, noted,
"The roads have been a perfect reflection of the 2002 crisis; roads are where people can act with fewer inhibitions than in their work, if they have it, or their home. The relations among actors in the public rights-of-way are characterized by the absence of solidarity, of respect of social norms."

I told my parents I would stay away from dangerous protests (and I have, I think), and I stay vigilant for possible crimes on the street. But it's clear that above all, I can't forget what my parents taught me as a child: to look both ways before I cross the street.

previously there was Say ya to da UP eh?
afterwards you have The Great Bowman

comments

Matias
In BA, looking both ways is not enough! Just remember what happened a month ago when buildings balconies were falling down almost everyday. hahahaha! Since then, I believe the best way is the subway.

-- The fact: the balconies that collapsed were only 2, but the media "enjoyed" talking about the subject for almost a week. If you're reading this post far away from BA, just stay calm: It's not raining balconies, hallelujah! [submitted on 27 Feb 03]
Iván
I´m not sure Matías... Do you remember when an escalator of the Independencia station suddenly stopped and a couple of people flew away and broke their skeletons? You should be always beware in Buenos Aires... and the fact of driving a car doesn´t allow you to say that you´re the king of the street... remember the LAPA air crash at Costanera avenue! It seemed that someone didn´t see the red light... [submitted on 28 Feb 03]
david
The LAPA crash? Must have been before our time. I assume something happened at Jorge Newberry (fyi, the airport quite close to downtown BsAs)? I'm always nervous when I'm running over there, I never do feel safe with airplanes flying so close over my head like that. [submitted on 28 Feb 03]
Matias
Iván, you are right! I remember the escalator accident and the airplane crash against the cars driving on Costanera avenue... and so close to a gas station!!! ... what a city!

David, the Lapa crash occurred in 1999. A plane couldn't take off and lost the runway... and continued its run on Costanera avenue. 60 people died. http://old.clarin.com/diari... [submitted on 28 Feb 03]
diego
The Pagina12 article contains some gross misinterpretations of statistics. It is really simplistic to blame the crisis for the increase in fatalities (from 108 to 138). Such a small difference is likely to be the result of random fluctuations in a normal distribution (especially taking into account the 1999 figure).

Also, the fact that 65% of deaths are pedestrians is related to the fact that there are lots of pedestrians in Buenos Aires. These numbers should be adjusted to take into account the pedestrian/driver ratio. BTW, this figure is 52% for New York City. The number of traffic deaths per 100,000 residents is remarkably similar (about 4 per year).

Traffic safety in Buenos Aires is not the best but the media should learn a thing or two about statistics before sounding the alarm. [submitted on 28 Feb 03]
david
Good point: of course Pagina 12 may have exaggerated, and the city office as well. I don't know how they account for the sudden drop since 1999 and then the rise this year (larger when you consider the drop in traffic), but it would be suprising if you could explain it by normal variation alone.

Regardless, the point I was trying to make is that despite the stream of warnings fed to foreigners both here and abroad, apart from the traffic (and the balcony situation :) Buenos Aires is basically SAFE. [submitted on 03 Mar 03]
jeremy
I remember visiting a friend's mother in suburban NYC during my freshman year of college, and talking about whether or not it was safe to visit the city.

"You really have to be careful," she said. "Watch your back at all times," was her advice, "and stay out of the subways." She also counselled against visiting Brooklyn.

After living in Brooklyn for three years and never having a penny stolen from me -- in fact I had a lost wallet with $250 cash returned intact -- this advice seems a little ridiculous. But it showed me how strange perceptions of safety can be.

I supposed there are certain dangers humans are naturally able to interpret: snarling german shepherds, for example. But we have few innate mechanisms to help us decide if cities are dangerous. [submitted on 03 Mar 03]
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